Baerum 1-4 Heming — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

Baerum
1-4 HT 0-2
Heming
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2026

Baerum vs Heming Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.1pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baerum v Heming — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Heming EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Heming
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heming swept aside Baerum 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Baerum carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Heming?

Baerum 1-4 Heming in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Heming?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Baerum 59%, draw 19%, Heming 22%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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