Madla 2-1 Vag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

Madla
2-1 HT 0-1
Vag
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.33
No
31%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
69%
BTTS Yes
71%
-2.4pp
31%
BTTS No
29%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madla EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vag EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.86/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.51/2.98
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madla
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
09.08.2025 Vag 2-0 HT 0-0 Madla Madla NOR4
14.06.2025 Madla Madla 3-3 HT 0-1 Vag NOR4
POST-MATCH Madla vs Vag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madla nicked a narrow win over Vag 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Madla as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vag led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Madla and 2.50 for Vag.

What was the final score of Madla vs Vag?

Madla 2-1 Vag in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madla vs Vag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madla win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Madla 49%, draw 20%, Vag 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Madla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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