Vard Haugesund 5-2 Gneist — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.6
No
35%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.43
2-3 Goals
32%
2.23
4-5 Goals
27%
2.28
6+ Goals
22%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-6.1pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.6pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
58%
+6.2pp
35%
BTTS No
42%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gneist EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Gneist
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund swept aside Gneist 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vard Haugesund as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Gneist?

Vard Haugesund 5-2 Gneist in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Gneist?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 67%, draw 18%, Gneist 16%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vard Haugesund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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