1461 Trabzon FK 4-5 Menemen FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.27/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.66
-18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Menemen FK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2025 Menemen FK Menemen FK 2-2 HT 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK T2L-K
02.12.2021 Menemen FK Menemen FK 3-0 HT 2-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK TÜK
29.10.2019 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Menemen FK Menemen FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
4-5
AWAY Menemen FK
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 1461 Trabzon FK vs Menemen FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Menemen FK nicked a narrow win over 1461 Trabzon FK 5-4 away from home. It was 4-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was 1461 Trabzon FK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, 1461 Trabzon FK had 50% of the ball to Menemen FK's 50%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 1.67 for Menemen FK.

What was the final score of 1461 Trabzon FK vs Menemen FK?

1461 Trabzon FK 4-5 Menemen FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1461 Trabzon FK vs Menemen FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1461 Trabzon FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split 1461 Trabzon FK 48%, draw 20%, Menemen FK 31%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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