Umea FC 1-1 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 36%
-19% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.64/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.64
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.09.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
11.06.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
11.09.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
03.04.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
1-1
AWAY Vasalund IF
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC and Vasalund IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Umea FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Umea FC had 62% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 38%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Umea FC and 1.00 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Vasalund IF?

Umea FC 1-1 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 44%, draw 24%, Vasalund IF 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Umea FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
25 May 2024
13:00 Sollen Utd vs Friska Viljor FC Analysis →
14:00 Stockholm Internazionale vs Taby Analysis →
14:00 Eskilsminne vs Rosengard Analysis →
14:00 Onsala vs Torslanda IK Analysis →
17:00 Falkenbergs FF vs Oskarshamns AIK Analysis →
17:00 United Nordic vs IF Karlstad Analysis →