Mjallby 1-3 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.3
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
16%
5.8
X/2
16%
4.99
X/X
9%
4.19
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.48
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.0 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 397
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
21.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.11.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
10.04.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
23.08.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
15.08.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-3
AWAY Djurgarden
0.58 xG 2.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
487 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden saw off Mjallby 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Djurgarden made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjallby had 61% of the ball to Djurgarden's 39%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.58 to 2.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mjallby and 0.67 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Djurgarden?

Mjallby 1-3 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 37%, draw 26%, Djurgarden 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
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