Levante (K) 2-1 Villarreal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.28
Draw
33%
5.28
Away
33%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
74%
-40.2pp
33%
Draw
16%
+17.5pp
33%
Away Win
11%
+22.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.65
-1% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.4 Crosses 12.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Villarreal (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.16 xG 0.26
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
491 Passes 179
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Villarreal (K) Villarreal (K) 0-5 HT 0-2 Levante (K) Levante (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante (K)
2-1
AWAY Villarreal (K)
2.24 xG 0.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
499 Passes 163
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante (K) vs Villarreal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante (K) squeezed past Villarreal (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Levante (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Levante (K) had 70% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 30%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.24 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Levante (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Levante (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Levante (K) 2-1 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Levante (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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