Union La Calera 1-2 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.15/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.31
+10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.5 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.76 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
380 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-2 HT 1-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
14.05.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
01.10.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-0 HT 2-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
25.04.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 3-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
22.11.2020 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-2 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
10.03.2020 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-0 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
1-2
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.76 xG 0.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido edged past Union La Calera 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coquimbo Unido as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 53% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 47%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.76 to 0.77 — on chances, Union La Calera could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union La Calera and 1.17 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?

Union La Calera 1-2 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 31%, draw 24%, Coquimbo Unido 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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