Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.04
-25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.6 Crosses 16.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Aurora
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.97 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
275 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
26.02.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
20.10.2022 Aurora Aurora 0-2 HT 0-2 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2-2
AWAY Aurora
0.67 xG 0.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
290 Passes 243
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto and Aurora shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 53% of the ball to Aurora's 47%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.67 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.33 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora?

Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 33%, draw 31%, Aurora 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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