America Mineiro vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Santos — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
3-2
HT 2-1
America Mineiro
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
America Mineiro
BR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
America Mineiro 2-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
America Mineiro edged past Santos 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America Mineiro had 50% of the ball to Santos's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.18 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for America Mineiro and 1.00 for Santos.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Santos?
America Mineiro 2-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 41%, draw 28%, Santos 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.