Imbabura 1-2 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imbabura EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.81/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
+15% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
10.5 Crosses 15.6
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imbabura
1-2
AWAY Emelec
1.41 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
326 Passes 209
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 5
36 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Imbabura vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec squeezed past Imbabura 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Emelec found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Imbabura had 58% of the ball to Emelec's 42%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.41 to 0.41 — on chances, Imbabura could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Imbabura vs Emelec?

Imbabura 1-2 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imbabura vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imbabura win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 37%, draw 28%, Emelec 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Imbabura), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imbabura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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