Sidama Bunna 0-1 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.51
Over
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.01/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +99%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sidama Bunna
0-1
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sidama Bunna vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis squeezed past Sidama Bunna 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kedus Giorgis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sidama Bunna had 48% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 52%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Sidama Bunna vs Kedus Giorgis?

Sidama Bunna 0-1 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sidama Bunna vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sidama Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Sidama Bunna 34%, draw 34%, Kedus Giorgis 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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