Jerv 2-1 Flekkeroy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.54
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.54 — our 25% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 20%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.82
-55% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Flekkeroy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
35 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2021 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 2-2 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOK
01.05.2019 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 1-2 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jerv
2-1
AWAY Flekkeroy
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Flekkeroy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv nicked a narrow win over Flekkeroy 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jerv had 52% of the ball to Flekkeroy's 48%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jerv had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jerv and 1.50 for Flekkeroy.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Flekkeroy?

Jerv 2-1 Flekkeroy in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Flekkeroy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Jerv 55%, draw 22%, Flekkeroy 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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