Stord Sunnhordland 2-3 Fana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
49%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
49%
Away Win
60%
-10.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stord Sunnhordland EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Fana EU Bookmakers 64%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.32/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/1.90
+42% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stord Sunnhordland
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Fana
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
13.08.2022 Fana Fana 5-1 HT 2-1 Stord Sunnhordland Stord Sunnhordland NOR4
02.07.2022 Stord Sunnhordland Stord Sunnhordland 6-2 HT 3-2 Fana Fana NOR4
16.10.2021 Fana Fana 5-2 HT 4-1 Stord Sunnhordland Stord Sunnhordland NOR4
POST-MATCH Stord Sunnhordland vs Fana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fana squeezed past Stord Sunnhordland 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stord Sunnhordland and 4.00 for Fana.

What was the final score of Stord Sunnhordland vs Fana?

Stord Sunnhordland 2-3 Fana in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stord Sunnhordland vs Fana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stord Sunnhordland 29%, draw 23%, Fana 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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