Azam 5-1 Kagera Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.28
Draw
33%
5.15
Away
33%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
74%
-40.6pp
33%
Draw
16%
+16.8pp
33%
Away Win
10%
+23.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.3pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azam EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.87/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.41
-50% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azam
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kagera Sugar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.12.2021 Azam 0-0 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Azam vs Kagera Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azam cruised past Kagera Sugar 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Azam found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Azam vs Kagera Sugar?

Azam 5-1 Kagera Sugar in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azam vs Kagera Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azam win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Azam 33%, draw 33%, Kagera Sugar 33%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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