Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.82/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.03
+10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
17.10.2019 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
25.08.2019 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-2 HT 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2
AWAY Rampla Juniors
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors squeezed past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 49% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 51%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.50 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Rampla Juniors?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 46%, draw 26%, Rampla Juniors 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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25 May 2024
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