Virginia Marauders 0-3 Northern Virginia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+10.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.8pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-11.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virginia Marauders EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 75%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virginia Marauders
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Northern Virginia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
12.06.2023 Virginia Marauders Virginia Marauders 1-4 HT 1-1 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virginia Marauders
0-3
AWAY Northern Virginia
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virginia Marauders vs Northern Virginia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Virginia cruised past Virginia Marauders 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Northern Virginia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Virginia Marauders had 40% of the ball to Northern Virginia's 60%, shots finished 7-19.

What was the final score of Virginia Marauders vs Northern Virginia?

Virginia Marauders 0-3 Northern Virginia in the USA - USL League 2 on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virginia Marauders vs Northern Virginia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Virginia Marauders 24%, draw 17%, Northern Virginia 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Virginia), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Virginia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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