U. Catolica vs La Serena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
U. Catolica v La Serena — Team-Based Signals
U. Catolica vs La Serena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
U. Catolica
ŞİL
La Serena
ŞİL
0-2
HT 0-1
U. Catolica
ŞİL
La Serena
ŞİL
1-2
HT 0-1
U. Catolica
ŞİL
La Serena
ŞİL
U. Catolica 1-3 La Serena — Actual Match Statistics
La Serena beat U. Catolica 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had U. Catolica at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, U. Catolica had 63% of the ball to La Serena's 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.59 to 1.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for U. Catolica and 1.00 for La Serena.
What was the final score of U. Catolica vs La Serena?
U. Catolica 1-3 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs La Serena?
Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 55%, draw 24%, La Serena 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.