Almagro 2-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 May 2025

Almagro
2-1 HT 1-1
Patronato
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Almagro vs Patronato Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.1pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v Patronato — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
0.92/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.32
-18% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Almagro vs Patronato Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Patronato
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Almagro Almagro 2-1 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
28.05.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro edged past Patronato 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Almagro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almagro and 1.00 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Patronato?

Almagro 2-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almagro 38%, draw 32%, Patronato 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almagro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almagro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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