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Thorns (K) vs America (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thorns (K) v America (K) — Team-Based Signals
Thorns (K) 3-0 America (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Thorns (K) ran out comfortable winners over America (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Thorns (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Thorns (K) had 42% of the ball to America (K)'s 58%, shots finished 13-10.
What was the final score of Thorns (K) vs America (K)?
Thorns (K) 3-0 America (K) in the CONK on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thorns (K) vs America (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thorns (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Thorns (K) 42%, draw 28%, America (K) 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thorns (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.