Portekiz U17 2-1 Almanya U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.0
Over
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U17 The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U17 The Market 37%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.57
-100% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +112%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz U17
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Almanya U17
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
26.03.2024 Almanya U17 Almanya U17 2-3 HT 0-1 Portekiz U17 Portekiz U17 U17
15.05.2014 Portekiz U17 Portekiz U17 1-0 HT 0-0 Almanya U17 Almanya U17 U17
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U17
2-1
AWAY Almanya U17
1.88 xG 0.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
350 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
42 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portekiz U17 vs Almanya U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U17 edged past Almanya U17 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Portekiz U17 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Portekiz U17 had 53% of the ball to Almanya U17's 47%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.88 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portekiz U17's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portekiz U17 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Portekiz U17 and 1.00 for Almanya U17.

What was the final score of Portekiz U17 vs Almanya U17?

Portekiz U17 2-1 Almanya U17 in the European U17 Championship on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U17 vs Almanya U17?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U17 34%, draw 28%, Almanya U17 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almanya U17) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almanya U17) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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