Sotra SK 1-2 Bjarg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.47
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 29% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+3.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bjarg EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bjarg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.03.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-0 HT 0-0 Bjarg Bjarg HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sotra SK
1-2
AWAY Bjarg
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Bjarg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg edged past Sotra SK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Sotra SK carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sotra SK had 48% of the ball to Bjarg's 52%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Bjarg?

Sotra SK 1-2 Bjarg in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Bjarg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 59%, draw 18%, Bjarg 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✗ BTTS No
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