FK Union Carl Berner 1-0 Ullern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.29
No
30%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.5pp
70%
BTTS Yes
73%
-2.8pp
30%
BTTS No
27%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Union Carl Berner EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ullern EU Bookmakers 22%
-69% / -69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.99
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Union Carl Berner
1-0
AWAY Ullern
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Union Carl Berner vs Ullern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Union Carl Berner nicked a narrow win over Ullern 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Union Carl Berner as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (70%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Union Carl Berner had 52% of the ball to Ullern's 48%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of FK Union Carl Berner vs Ullern?

FK Union Carl Berner 1-0 Ullern in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Union Carl Berner vs Ullern?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Union Carl Berner win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK Union Carl Berner 58%, draw 22%, Ullern 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Union Carl Berner) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Union Carl Berner) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
25 May 2026
15:00 Valerenga II vs Heming Analysis →
15:00 Strindheim vs Nardo Analysis →
15:00 Gjovik-Lyn vs Elverum Analysis →
16:00 Konnerud vs Lokomotiv Oslo Analysis →
16:00 Varhaug vs Vag Analysis →
16:00 Fram Larvik vs Raelingen Analysis →