Kolombiya vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kolombiya v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals
Kolombiya vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kolombiya
DKE
2-0
HT 1-0
Paraguay
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Paraguay
DKE
1-1
HT 1-0
Kolombiya
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Paraguay
AKU
1-2
HT 0-0
Paraguay
DKE
Kolombiya 2-1 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics
Kolombiya squeezed past Paraguay 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolombiya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kolombiya had 68% of the ball to Paraguay's 32%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.71 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolombiya had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kolombiya and 0.50 for Paraguay.
What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Paraguay?
Kolombiya 2-1 Paraguay in the Copa America on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Paraguay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 49%, draw 26%, Paraguay 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.