NWS Spirit 1-3 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.86/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.60
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
448 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-0 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
10.06.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-2 HT 0-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
25.02.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 1-0 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutherland Sharks saw off NWS Spirit 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was NWS Spirit at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sutherland Sharks led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NWS Spirit and 1.00 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks?

NWS Spirit 1-3 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 44%, draw 25%, Sutherland Sharks 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →