KFG Gardabar 2-5 Höttur / Huginn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.74
Over 2.5
67%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.39
No
31%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
33%
+0.2pp
67%
Over 2.5
67%
-0.2pp
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.8pp
31%
BTTS No
32%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Höttur / Huginn EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.75/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.63
-14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFG Gardabar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Höttur / Huginn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
29.07.2023 Höttur / Huginn Höttur / Huginn 4-1 HT 2-1 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
21.05.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 2-1 HT 1-0 Höttur / Huginn Höttur / Huginn İZL2
POST-MATCH KFG Gardabar vs Höttur / Huginn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Höttur / Huginn ran out comfortable winners over KFG Gardabar 5-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KFG Gardabar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KFG Gardabar and 2.50 for Höttur / Huginn.

What was the final score of KFG Gardabar vs Höttur / Huginn?

KFG Gardabar 2-5 Höttur / Huginn in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFG Gardabar vs Höttur / Huginn?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFG Gardabar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KFG Gardabar 46%, draw 27%, Höttur / Huginn 27%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFG Gardabar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFG Gardabar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →