Nürnberg II 1-3 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.55
No
55%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.8pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.92/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.19
+31% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-2 HT 2-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
27.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 5-2 HT 2-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
03.08.2021 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-0 HT 2-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
16.05.2015 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg II
1-3
AWAY Bayreuth
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth saw off Nürnberg II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Nürnberg II had 57% of the ball to Bayreuth's 43%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nürnberg II and 2.60 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth?

Nürnberg II 1-3 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 43%, draw 22%, Bayreuth 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nürnberg II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
25 Jul 2024
21:20 Chemnitzer FC vs Hallescher FC Analysis →