Godoy Cruz 2-1 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 51%
-16% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
0.99/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.09
-33% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.2 Crosses 19.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
2W-0D-4L
AWAY River Plate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.23 xG 2.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
210 Passes 418
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
11.07.2022 River Plate River Plate 0-2 HT 0-2 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
08.08.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
21.03.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-6 HT 0-5 River Plate River Plate ARJ
06.12.2020 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 2-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
15.11.2020 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
2-1
AWAY River Plate
2.30 xG 1.49
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
191 Passes 507
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz edged past River Plate 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 32% of the ball to River Plate's 68%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.30 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Godoy Cruz and 2.33 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs River Plate?

Godoy Cruz 2-1 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 29%, draw 27%, River Plate 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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