Velden 3-2 Neusiedl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
51%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.23
Over
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.41
No
51%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Velden win — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
67%
-18.2pp
51%
BTTS No
33%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velden The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Neusiedl The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velden
3-2
AWAY Neusiedl
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Velden vs Neusiedl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velden edged past Neusiedl 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Velden as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Velden had 50% of the ball to Neusiedl's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Velden vs Neusiedl?

Velden 3-2 Neusiedl in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velden vs Neusiedl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velden win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Velden 51%, draw 18%, Neusiedl 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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