Botafogo SP 0-2 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.85
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.03/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.93
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.7 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Criciuma
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.42 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
18.07.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
12.09.2021 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
13.07.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 3-1 HT 2-1 Criciuma Criciuma BRE3
28.09.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 2-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
01.06.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
0-2
AWAY Criciuma
1.31 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 Passes 235
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma beat Botafogo SP 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Criciuma made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 57% of the ball to Criciuma's 43%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.31 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo SP had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.00 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?

Botafogo SP 0-2 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 37%, draw 31%, Criciuma 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo SP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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