Sparta Brno 1-0 Vrchovina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
5.14
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.52
6+ Goals
10%
5.95
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.94 — our 50% vs market 43.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
26%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
57%
Away Win
53%
+4.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Brno EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vrchovina EU Bookmakers 57%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Brno
1-0
AWAY Vrchovina
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Brno vs Vrchovina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Brno edged past Vrchovina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vrchovina at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Sparta Brno vs Vrchovina?

Sparta Brno 1-0 Vrchovina in the Czech Republic - Cup on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Brno vs Vrchovina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vrchovina win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sparta Brno 21%, draw 22%, Vrchovina 57%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vrchovina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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