Brno 3-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 28% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brno EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
Crosses 20.3
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brno
3-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
2.21 xG 1.45
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
166 Passes 398
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Brno vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brno saw off Sparta Prag 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.21 to 1.45.

What was the final score of Brno vs Sparta Prag?

Brno 3-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brno vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brno 21%, draw 26%, Sparta Prag 53%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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