Greenock Morton 0-1 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
8.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 69%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.08/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
-92% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
02.03.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-2 HT 0-2 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
30.12.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
12.12.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
01.04.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
04.02.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-2 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
28.10.2022 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 4-0 HT 3-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Inverness CT?

Greenock Morton 0-1 Inverness CT in the Scotland - League Cup on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 19%, draw 24%, Inverness CT 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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