Lustenau 1-4 Kitzbühel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 25 Jul 2026

Lustenau
1-4 HT 0-3
Kitzbühel
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2026/2027

Lustenau vs Kitzbühel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.59
Over 2.5
43%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.32
2-3 Goals
47%
1.98
4-5 Goals
18%
2.57
6+ Goals
7%
6.01
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.32 — our 28% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
3.46
1/2
4%
21.8
1/X
3%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.75
X/X
15%
6.36
2/1
9%
22.65
2/2
23%
3.27
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · X/2 at 5.75 — our 20% vs market 13.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
38%
-12.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
35%
+21.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
65%
-21.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.1pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lustenau v Kitzbühel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lustenau EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitzbühel EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Lustenau vs Kitzbühel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitzbühel cruised past Lustenau 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kitzbühel as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lustenau vs Kitzbühel?

Lustenau 1-4 Kitzbühel in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lustenau vs Kitzbühel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitzbühel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lustenau 26%, draw 27%, Kitzbühel 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitzbühel), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitzbühel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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