APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 UNSW FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY UNSW FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.27/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.36
-2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY UNSW FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.04.2026 UNSW FC UNSW FC 1-1 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs UNSW FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers cruised past UNSW FC 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs UNSW FC?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 UNSW FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs UNSW FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 59%, draw 22%, UNSW FC 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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