Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Durango Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Durango — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Durango Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Durango
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 Durango — Actual Match Statistics
Durango squeezed past Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 11-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.00 for Durango.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Durango?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 Durango in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Durango?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, draw 27%, Durango 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) went the other way.