Baerum 6-3 Valerenga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.22
Draw
9%
6.26
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
78%
-2.1pp
9%
Draw
13%
-4.2pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.6pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 12%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
3.58/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/3.09
+6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
538 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Valerenga II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2022 Valerenga II Valerenga II 4-0 HT 3-0 Baerum Baerum NOR3
20.06.2022 Baerum Baerum 4-0 HT 2-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
06.11.2021 Baerum Baerum 2-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
21.06.2021 Valerenga II Valerenga II 2-3 HT 2-1 Baerum Baerum NOR3
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Valerenga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum cruised past Valerenga II 6-3. Half-time: 4-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Baerum had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Baerum and 2.00 for Valerenga II.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Valerenga II?

Baerum 6-3 Valerenga II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Valerenga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Baerum 75%, draw 9%, Valerenga II 16%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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