Port Melbourne 1-3 Northcote City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
64%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.9
No
34%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.0pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
64%
Away Win
77%
-12.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
49%
+16.9pp
34%
BTTS No
51%
-16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Northcote City EU Bookmakers 81%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-68% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Northcote City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 9
17.04.2026 Northcote City Northcote City 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVPL1
21.03.2015 Northcote City Northcote City 2-1 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
04.05.2014 Northcote City Northcote City 2-3 HT 1-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Northcote City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northcote City saw off Port Melbourne 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Northcote City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Port Melbourne and 1.33 for Northcote City.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Northcote City?

Port Melbourne 1-3 Northcote City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Northcote City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 17%, draw 19%, Northcote City 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northcote City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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