Mantova 3-2 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Aug 2024

Mantova
3-2 HT 2-0
Cosenza Calcio
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Mantova vs Cosenza Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 38% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.84
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
22%
4.18
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.61
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mantova v Cosenza Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.24/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.01
-8% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
– Crosses 20.9
– Yellow Cards 3.1

Mantova 3-2 Cosenza Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
3-2
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.14 xG 2.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 5
299 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova squeezed past Cosenza Calcio 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mantova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mantova had 53% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 47%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.14 to 2.23 — on chances, Cosenza Calcio could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Cosenza Calcio?

Mantova 3-2 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Mantova 34%, draw 33%, Cosenza Calcio 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mantova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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