Deportes Iquique 1-3 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.91/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.25
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
17.7 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
3W-1D-2L
AWAY O Higgins
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.80 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
12.01.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 1-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
08.03.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
17.08.2019 O Higgins O Higgins 4-1 HT 4-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
02.03.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-3 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
01.09.2018 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 3-1 HT 3-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
1-3
AWAY O Higgins
1.38 xG 0.70
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 124
80% Pass Accuracy 57%
28 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins beat Deportes Iquique 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Iquique at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 69% of the ball to O Higgins's 31%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.38 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportes Iquique.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Iquique had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportes Iquique and 1.67 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs O Higgins?

Deportes Iquique 1-3 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 41%, draw 26%, O Higgins 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportes Iquique) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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