Hamburg II 5-2 Teutonia Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
2.42/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.04
+50% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
11.12.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 5-1 HT 3-1 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
26.09.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg II
5-2
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II ran out comfortable winners over Teutonia Hamburg 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hamburg II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hamburg II had 58% of the ball to Teutonia Hamburg's 42%, shots finished 27-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hamburg II and 1.50 for Teutonia Hamburg.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Hamburg II 5-2 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Teutonia Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 36%, draw 26%, Teutonia Hamburg 38%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Teutonia Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teutonia Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
25 Aug 2024
14:00 Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
14:00 Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemie Leipzig Analysis →
14:00 Eilenburg vs Viktoria Berlin Analysis →
14:00 Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hallescher FC Analysis →
15:00 Todesfelde vs Kickers Emden Analysis →
15:00 Bahlinger SC vs Kickers Offenbach Analysis →