Wolfsberger AC 4-2 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
12%
7.14
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
15%
5.08
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.59/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.29
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
332 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
18.7 Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
4-2
AWAY Grazer AK
2.16 xG 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
213 Passes 345
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Wolfsberger AC vs Grazer AK
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Wolfsberger AC beat Grazer AK 4-2 in the Austria - Bundesliga on 25 Aug 2024. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 42% of the ball to Grazer AK's 58%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.16 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Grazer AK?

Wolfsberger AC 4-2 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 40%, draw 26%, Grazer AK 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC)
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