Lokomotiv Gomel 4-0 Ostrovets FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.21
Over
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.58/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.36
-61% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ostrovets FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
25.11.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-1 HT 1-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
05.08.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
4-0
AWAY Ostrovets FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Gomel vs Ostrovets FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Gomel swept aside Ostrovets FC 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Lokomotiv Gomel made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Gomel had 54% of the ball to Ostrovets FC's 46%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Gomel had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotiv Gomel and 0.50 for Ostrovets FC.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Gomel vs Ostrovets FC?

Lokomotiv Gomel 4-0 Ostrovets FC in the Belarus - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Gomel vs Ostrovets FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Gomel 38%, draw 30%, Ostrovets FC 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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