PFC Beroe 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
43%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.9pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.7pp
43%
Away Win
66%
-22.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.84/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.73
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
27.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 HT 2-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
03.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad squeezed past PFC Beroe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 37% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 63%, shots finished 4-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for PFC Beroe and 3.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

PFC Beroe 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 25%, draw 32%, Ludogorets Razgrad 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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