25/08/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Ethiopia Bunna vs Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
30%
Draw
28%
30%
Away Win
31%
56%
Under 2.5
59%
44%
Over 2.5
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ethiopia Bunna v Police — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ethiopia Bunna
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Police
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
279 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
301 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ethiopia Bunna vs Police Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ethiopia Bunna
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Police
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ethiopia Bunna vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Police squeezed past Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Police made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Police?
Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Police in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 40%, draw 30%, Police 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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25 Aug 2024