Philadelphia Union 2-2 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 25 Aug 2024

Philadelphia Union
2-2 HT 2-1
Colorado Rapids
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Concacaf League Cup – 2024

Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.41
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
18%
4.73
X/2
8%
8.66
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
2/2
13%
5.5
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.0pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v Colorado Rapids — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.78/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.35
-44% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
14.0 Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.71 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
392 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
28.08.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 6-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
30.05.2019 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
01.04.2018 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.05.2017 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
29.05.2016 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD

Philadelphia Union 2-2 Colorado Rapids — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
2-2
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.27 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
405 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and Colorado Rapids shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 58% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.27 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.17 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids?

Philadelphia Union 2-2 Colorado Rapids in the Concacaf League Cup on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 49%, draw 23%, Colorado Rapids 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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