Hobro IK 0-3 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
56%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.55
1/X
10%
14.85
X/1
7%
10.25
X/2
12%
4.15
X/X
8%
6.08
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.04
2/X
5%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.55 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
56%
Away Win
56%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 61%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 83%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Odense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
272 Passes 436
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAK
03.11.2019 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 2-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN
23.08.2019 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
06.11.2018 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-4 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAK
02.11.2018 Odense Odense 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN
11.08.2018 Hobro IK Hobro IK 3-2 HT 3-0 Odense Odense DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
0-3
AWAY Odense
1.29 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
400 Passes 480
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense ran out comfortable winners over Hobro IK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 46% of the ball to Odense's 54%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.29 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hobro IK and 1.67 for Odense.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Odense?

Hobro IK 0-3 Odense in the Denmark 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 22%, draw 22%, Odense 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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