Baroka 1-1 Orbit College — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

Baroka
1-1 HT 1-1
Orbit College
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Baroka vs Orbit College Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baroka v Orbit College — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Orbit College EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.71/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.33
+32% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Baroka vs Orbit College Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Orbit College
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
03.04.2024 Baroka Baroka 2-1 HT 0-1 Orbit College Orbit College GAF1
11.11.2023 Orbit College Orbit College 0-1 HT 0-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Orbit College
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka and Orbit College couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baroka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baroka and 0.50 for Orbit College.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Orbit College?

Baroka 1-1 Orbit College in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Orbit College?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Baroka 50%, draw 26%, Orbit College 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baroka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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