Ajka 3-2 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.8pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.46/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-61% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
3-2
AWAY Kisvarda
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka nicked a narrow win over Kisvarda 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Ajka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajka had 39% of the ball to Kisvarda's 61%, shots finished 13-20.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Kisvarda?

Ajka 3-2 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB II on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ajka 37%, draw 28%, Kisvarda 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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