Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-3 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 30% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 45%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -23%
1.29/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.26
-13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
0W-0D-2L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
07.03.2015 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
16.08.2014 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
3-3
AWAY MOL Fehervar
2.80 xG 0.41
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
207 Passes 313
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and MOL Fehervar couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nyiregyhaza Spartacus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had 45% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 55%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.80 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and 2.50 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs MOL Fehervar?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-3 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 41%, draw 25%, MOL Fehervar 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) ✗ BTTS No
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